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“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”

— Warren Buffett

The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a ten year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Target Corp (NYSE: TGT)? Today, we examine the outcome of a ten year investment into the stock back in 2015.

Start date: 09/09/2015
$10,000

09/09/2015
  $15,909

09/08/2025
End date: 09/08/2025
Start price/share: $77.16
End price/share: $91.50
Starting shares: 129.60
Ending shares: 173.80
Dividends reinvested/share: $32.42
Total return: 59.03%
Average annual return: 4.75%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $15,909.29

The above analysis shows the ten year investment result worked out as follows, with an annualized rate of return of 4.75%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 10 years ago into $15,909.29 today (as of 09/08/2025). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 59.03% (something to think about: how might TGT shares perform over the next 10 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that Target Corp paid investors a total of $32.42/share in dividends over the 10 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 4.56/share, we calculate that TGT has a current yield of approximately 4.98%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 4.56 against the original $77.16/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 6.45%.

More investment wisdom to ponder:
“Know what you own and why you own it.” — Peter Lynch