“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”
— Warren Buffett
A five-year holding period is long enough to test whether a company’s operating trajectory can translate into durable shareholder returns. For Teradyne, Inc. (NASD: TER), that test produced a strong result: a $10,000 investment made on 10/06/2021 grew to $41,568.88 by 10/05/2026, assuming dividends were reinvested. That equates to a 315.69% total return and a 32.97% average annual return.
The result is notable because it was driven primarily by share-price appreciation rather than income. Teradyne is best known as a supplier of automated test equipment used across the semiconductor value chain, with additional exposure to industrial automation and robotics. That business mix tends to give the stock meaningful upside when semiconductor capital spending and electronics demand are favorable, while also introducing cyclicality that can lead to sharp swings in sentiment and valuation.
TER Five-Year Return Summary
| Start date: | 10/06/2021 |
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| End date: | 10/05/2026 | ||||
| Start price/share: | $109.00 | ||||
| End price/share: | $444.53 | ||||
| Starting shares: | 91.74 | ||||
| Ending shares: | 93.51 | ||||
| Dividends reinvested/share: | $2.33 | ||||
| Total return: | 315.69% | ||||
| Average annual return: | 32.97% | ||||
| Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
| Ending investment: | $41,568.88 | ||||
On these assumptions, Teradyne turned each invested dollar into more than four dollars over the period. Put differently, the gain was not merely positive; it was large enough to demonstrate the effect of sustained compounding when strong business performance and a favorable market multiple move in the same direction. These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.
What Drove the Five-Year Return?
The headline figure can be broken into two components:
- Capital appreciation: TER rose from $109.00 to $444.53 per share, accounting for the overwhelming majority of the return.
- Dividend reinvestment: Over the period, shareholders received $2.33 per share in dividends, which modestly increased the share count from 91.74 to 93.51.
That distinction matters. Teradyne did pay cash to shareholders, but this was not a yield-driven outcome. The investment worked chiefly because the market assigned much higher value to the company by the end of the holding period than it did at the start.
Why TER Can Produce Large Swings in Return
Teradyne operates in markets tied to semiconductor testing, electronics complexity, and manufacturing automation. Those end markets can support long periods of growth, particularly when chip content rises and testing requirements become more demanding. At the same time, they are cyclical. Orders can accelerate rapidly during upcycles and weaken just as quickly when customers digest capacity or reduce capital spending.
That operating profile helps explain why TER has the potential to produce outsized five-year gains but can also experience meaningful volatility along the way. For long-horizon analysis, the key variables are usually revenue durability, margin resilience, cash generation, and whether end-market growth is structural or merely cyclical.
Dividend Impact and Yield on Cost
Dividends remain relevant even when yield is modest, because reinvestment adds incremental shares and slightly lifts total return over time. In this case, the effect was positive but secondary to the move in the stock price. The calculations above assume that dividends were reinvested automatically using the closing price on the ex-dividend date.
Based on the most recent annualized dividend rate of $0.52 per share, TER has a current yield of approximately 0.12%. Using the original purchase price of $109.00 per share, the current dividend rate implies a yield on cost of about 0.48%.
Key Takeaways From This TER Investment Example
- Total return matters more than price change alone. Reinvested dividends slightly increased the ending share count and lifted the final value.
- The result was equity-driven, not income-driven. TER’s low yield means the investment case depended mainly on business growth and valuation expansion.
- Time horizon changes the picture. A five-year period can smooth some short-term volatility and better capture the economics of a cyclical technology business.
- Cyclicality remains central. Past gains do not remove the need to assess semiconductor demand, customer spending patterns, and execution risk.
For shareholders who bought Teradyne in October 2021 and held through October 2026, the outcome was exceptionally strong. The case illustrates a broader point about long-duration equity investing: when a company with exposure to attractive technology end markets delivers strong operating performance, even a low-yielding stock can generate substantial total returns over a full cycle.
“In the short run, the market is a voting machine but in the long run, it is a weighing machine.” — Benjamin Graham