Warren Buffett

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“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”

— Warren Buffett

A long-term holding period can produce results that look very different from the day-to-day volatility investors experience along the way. Netflix Inc (NASD: NFLX) is a clear example. A $10,000 investment in Netflix stock made on 09/28/2016 and held through 09/25/2026 would have grown to $72,946.73, based on the return figures shown below.

The exercise is straightforward but useful: it isolates the effect of compounding in a single equity over a full decade. In Netflix’s case, the return was driven entirely by share-price appreciation rather than dividend income, since the company did not pay dividends over the period measured.

Netflix 10-Year Return at a Glance

Start date: 09/28/2016
$10,000

09/28/2016
  $72,946

09/25/2026
End date: 09/25/2026
Start price/share: $9.75
End price/share: $71.15
Starting shares: 1,025.64
Ending shares: 1,025.64
Dividends reinvested/share: $0.00
Total return: 629.74%
Average annual return: 21.99%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $72,946.73

What Drove the Return?

The magnitude of Netflix’s 10-year gain reflects a business that spent much of the period scaling globally, deepening subscriber reach, and expanding from a pure distribution platform into a major content producer. Over time, the market rewarded that growth with a substantially higher equity value. Because there were no dividends, the full return came from capital appreciation.

That distinction matters. For dividend-paying stocks, total return often combines both price gains and reinvested cash distributions. For Netflix, the calculation is simpler: the ending value is almost entirely a function of how much the share price increased between the purchase date and the measurement date.

Key Takeaways From the Numbers

The historical result can be summarized in a few points:

  • A $10,000 investment grew to $72,946.73 over the measured period.
  • The total return was 629.74%.
  • The annualized return was 21.99%.
  • No dividends were paid or reinvested, so the gain came from stock price appreciation alone.

Another important takeaway is that annualized return tells a more useful story than the headline total gain. A cumulative return of more than 600% is striking, but the annualized figure shows the pace at which wealth compounded over time. That makes it easier to compare Netflix’s performance with other long-duration investments.

Why Holding Period Matters

Long-term outcomes are often obscured by shorter-term price swings. A stock capable of generating outsized decade-long returns may still experience deep drawdowns, valuation resets, or periods of stagnant performance along the way. Looking only at the endpoint does not eliminate that path dependency, but it does illustrate the payoff that can come from holding a business through multiple market cycles.

This is one reason long-horizon return analysis remains useful: it shifts the focus from trading noise to business durability, earnings power, and the market’s willingness over time to capitalize future cash flows at a higher level.

As shown here, a buy-and-hold investment in Netflix over the last decade delivered an exceptional result, turning $10,000 into $72,946.73 as of 09/25/2026. [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

More investment wisdom to ponder:
“It is remarkable how much long-term advantage people like us have gotten by trying to be consistently not stupid, instead of trying to be very intelligent.” — Charlie Munger