“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”
— Warren Buffett
One of the most important things investors can learn from Warren Buffett, is about how they approach their time horizon for an investment into a stock under consideration. Because immediately after buying shares of a given stock, investors will then be able to check on the day-to-day (and even minute-by-minute) market value. Some days the stock market will be up, other days down. These daily fluctuations can often distract from the long-term view. Today, we look at the result of a ten year holding period for an investor who was considering Synchrony Financial (NYSE: SYF) back in 2014, bought the stock, ignored the market’s ups and downs, and simply held through to today.
| Start date: | 10/06/2014 |
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| End date: | 10/03/2024 | ||||
| Start price/share: | $25.00 | ||||
| End price/share: | $49.56 | ||||
| Starting shares: | 400.00 | ||||
| Ending shares: | 491.13 | ||||
| Dividends reinvested/share: | $6.77 | ||||
| Total return: | 143.41% | ||||
| Average annual return: | 9.30% | ||||
| Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
| Ending investment: | $24,333.33 | ||||
The above analysis shows the ten year investment result worked out well, with an annualized rate of return of 9.30%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 10 years ago into $24,333.33 today (as of 10/03/2024). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 143.41% (something to think about: how might SYF shares perform over the next 10 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that Synchrony Financial paid investors a total of $6.77/share in dividends over the 10 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 1/share, we calculate that SYF has a current yield of approximately 2.02%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 1 against the original $25.00/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 8.08%.
One more piece of investment wisdom to leave you with:
“Although it’s easy to forget sometimes, a share is not a lottery ticket… it’s part-ownership of a business.” — Peter Lynch
