“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”
— Warren Buffett
The wisdom of Warren Buffett reflects a value-based philosophy about investing that says investors are buying shares in a business, and encourages strategic thinking about investment time horizon. Before placing a buy order for a stock, a great question we can ask is whether we would still be comfortable making the investment if we couldn’t sell it for many years?
A “buy-and-hold” approach may call for a time horizon that spans a long period of time — maybe even lasting for a five year holding period. Suppose such a “buy-and-hold” investor had looked into buying shares of Tesla Inc (NASD: TSLA) back in 2017. Let’s take a look at how such an investment would have worked out for that buy-and-hold investor:
Start date: | 06/30/2017 |
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End date: | 06/29/2022 | ||||
Start price/share: | $72.32 | ||||
End price/share: | $685.47 | ||||
Starting shares: | 138.27 | ||||
Ending shares: | 138.27 | ||||
Dividends reinvested/share: | $0.00 | ||||
Total return: | 847.83% | ||||
Average annual return: | 56.80% | ||||
Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
Ending investment: | $94,782.97 |
As we can see, the five year investment result worked out exceptionally well, with an annualized rate of return of 56.80%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $94,782.97 today (as of 06/29/2022). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 847.83% (something to think about: how might TSLA shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
More investment wisdom to ponder:
“Markets are constantly in a state of uncertainty and flux and money is made by discounting the obvious and betting on the unexpected.” — George Soros