“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”
— Warren Buffett
The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a five year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into US Bancorp (NYSE: USB)? Today, we examine the outcome of a five year investment into the stock back in 2017.
| Start date: | 03/14/2017 |
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| End date: | 03/11/2022 | ||||
| Start price/share: | $55.00 | ||||
| End price/share: | $52.65 | ||||
| Starting shares: | 181.82 | ||||
| Ending shares: | 211.89 | ||||
| Dividends reinvested/share: | $7.52 | ||||
| Total return: | 11.56% | ||||
| Average annual return: | 2.21% | ||||
| Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
| Ending investment: | $11,153.60 | ||||
As shown above, the five year investment result worked out as follows, with an annualized rate of return of 2.21%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $11,153.60 today (as of 03/11/2022). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 11.56% (something to think about: how might USB shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that US Bancorp paid investors a total of $7.52/share in dividends over the 5 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 1.84/share, we calculate that USB has a current yield of approximately 3.49%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 1.84 against the original $55.00/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 6.35%.
More investment wisdom to ponder:
“Though tempting, trying to time the market is a loser’s game.” — Christopher Davis
