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“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”

— Warren Buffett

The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a decade-long holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into CVS Health Corporation (NYSE: CVS)? Today, we examine the outcome of a decade-long investment into the stock back in 2014.

Start date: 12/12/2014
$10,000

12/12/2014
  $7,542

12/11/2024
End date: 12/11/2024
Start price/share: $89.94
End price/share: $51.76
Starting shares: 111.19
Ending shares: 145.73
Dividends reinvested/share: $20.38
Total return: -24.57%
Average annual return: -2.78%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $7,542.04

As we can see, the decade-long investment result worked out poorly, with an annualized rate of return of -2.78%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 10 years ago into $7,542.04 today (as of 12/11/2024). On a total return basis, that’s a result of -24.57% (something to think about: how might CVS shares perform over the next 10 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that CVS Health Corporation paid investors a total of $20.38/share in dividends over the 10 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 2.66/share, we calculate that CVS has a current yield of approximately 5.14%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 2.66 against the original $89.94/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 5.71%.

More investment wisdom to ponder:
“I rarely think the market is right. I believe non-dividend stocks aren’t much more than baseball cards. They are worth what you can convince someone to pay for it.” — Mark Cuban