Photo credit: commons.wikimedia.org

“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”

— Warren Buffett

The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a decade-long holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Xcel Energy Inc (NASD: XEL)? Today, we examine the outcome of a decade-long investment into the stock back in 2014.

Start date: 11/19/2014
$10,000

11/19/2014
  $28,538

11/18/2024
End date: 11/18/2024
Start price/share: $33.57
End price/share: $69.94
Starting shares: 297.89
Ending shares: 407.93
Dividends reinvested/share: $16.75
Total return: 185.31%
Average annual return: 11.05%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $28,538.76

As we can see, the decade-long investment result worked out quite well, with an annualized rate of return of 11.05%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 10 years ago into $28,538.76 today (as of 11/18/2024). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 185.31% (something to think about: how might XEL shares perform over the next 10 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that Xcel Energy Inc paid investors a total of $16.75/share in dividends over the 10 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 2.19/share, we calculate that XEL has a current yield of approximately 3.13%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 2.19 against the original $33.57/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 9.32%.

Another great investment quote to think about:
“You get recessions, you have stock market declines. If you don’t understand that’s going to happen, then you’re not ready, you won’t do well in the markets.” — Peter Lynch