“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”
— Warren Buffett
Investors can learn a lot from Warren Buffett, whose above quote teaches the importance of thinking about investment time horizon, and asking ourselves before buying any given stock: can we envision holding onto it for years — even a ten year holding period possibly?
Suppose a “buy-and-hold” investor was considering an investment into Stryker Corp (NYSE: SYK) back in 2014: back then, such an investor may have been pondering this very same question. Had they answered “yes” to a full ten year investment time horizon and then actually held for these past 10 years, here’s how that investment would have turned out.
Start date: | 10/15/2014 |
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End date: | 10/14/2024 | ||||
Start price/share: | $79.48 | ||||
End price/share: | $359.71 | ||||
Starting shares: | 125.82 | ||||
Ending shares: | 141.66 | ||||
Dividends reinvested/share: | $22.36 | ||||
Total return: | 409.55% | ||||
Average annual return: | 17.67% | ||||
Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
Ending investment: | $50,938.33 |
The above analysis shows the ten year investment result worked out exceptionally well, with an annualized rate of return of 17.67%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 10 years ago into $50,938.33 today (as of 10/14/2024). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 409.55% (something to think about: how might SYK shares perform over the next 10 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that Stryker Corp paid investors a total of $22.36/share in dividends over the 10 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 3.2/share, we calculate that SYK has a current yield of approximately 0.89%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 3.2 against the original $79.48/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 1.12%.
One more piece of investment wisdom to leave you with:
“I’d like to live as a poor man with lots of money.” — Pablo Picasso