“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”
— Warren Buffett
Investors can learn a lot from Warren Buffett, whose above quote teaches the importance of thinking about investment time horizon, and asking ourselves before buying any given stock: can we envision holding onto it for years — even a five year holding period possibly?
Suppose a “buy-and-hold” investor was considering an investment into Quanta Services, Inc. (NYSE: PWR) back in 2019: back then, such an investor may have been pondering this very same question. Had they answered “yes” to a full five year investment time horizon and then actually held for these past 5 years, here’s how that investment would have turned out.
Start date: | 09/20/2019 |
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End date: | 09/19/2024 | ||||
Start price/share: | $37.59 | ||||
End price/share: | $289.73 | ||||
Starting shares: | 266.03 | ||||
Ending shares: | 269.80 | ||||
Dividends reinvested/share: | $1.35 | ||||
Total return: | 681.70% | ||||
Average annual return: | 50.84% | ||||
Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
Ending investment: | $78,175.69 |
The above analysis shows the five year investment result worked out exceptionally well, with an annualized rate of return of 50.84%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $78,175.69 today (as of 09/19/2024). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 681.70% (something to think about: how might PWR shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that Quanta Services, Inc. paid investors a total of $1.35/share in dividends over the 5 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of .36/share, we calculate that PWR has a current yield of approximately 0.12%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of .36 against the original $37.59/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 0.32%.
One more investment quote to leave you with:
“If I’ve learned one thing in this life it’s this: even if you lose, don’t lose the lesson.” — Daymond John