“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”
— Warren Buffett
Investors can learn a lot from Warren Buffett, whose above quote teaches the importance of thinking about investment time horizon, and asking ourselves before buying any given stock: can we envision holding onto it for years — even a five year holding period possibly?
Suppose a “buy-and-hold” investor was considering an investment into Netflix Inc (NASD: NFLX) back in 2019: back then, such an investor may have been pondering this very same question. Had they answered “yes” to a full five year investment time horizon and then actually held for these past 5 years, here’s how that investment would have turned out.
Start date: | 08/27/2019 |
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End date: | 08/26/2024 | ||||
Start price/share: | $291.03 | ||||
End price/share: | $688.44 | ||||
Starting shares: | 34.36 | ||||
Ending shares: | 34.36 | ||||
Dividends reinvested/share: | $0.00 | ||||
Total return: | 136.55% | ||||
Average annual return: | 18.78% | ||||
Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
Ending investment: | $23,654.91 |
As we can see, the five year investment result worked out exceptionally well, with an annualized rate of return of 18.78%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $23,654.91 today (as of 08/26/2024). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 136.55% (something to think about: how might NFLX shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
One more investment quote to leave you with:
“Successful investing is anticipating the anticipations of others.” — John Maynard Keynes