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“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”

— Warren Buffett

Investors can learn a lot from Warren Buffett, whose above quote teaches the importance of thinking about investment time horizon, and asking ourselves before buying any given stock: can we envision holding onto it for years — even a five year holding period possibly?

Suppose a “buy-and-hold” investor was considering an investment into Interpublic Group of Companies Inc. (NYSE: IPG) back in 2019: back then, such an investor may have been pondering this very same question. Had they answered “yes” to a full five year investment time horizon and then actually held for these past 5 years, here’s how that investment would have turned out.

Start date: 08/02/2019
$10,000

08/02/2019
  $17,393

08/01/2024
End date: 08/01/2024
Start price/share: $21.77
End price/share: $30.96
Starting shares: 459.35
Ending shares: 561.83
Dividends reinvested/share: $5.63
Total return: 73.94%
Average annual return: 11.70%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $17,393.92

As shown above, the five year investment result worked out quite well, with an annualized rate of return of 11.70%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $17,393.92 today (as of 08/01/2024). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 73.94% (something to think about: how might IPG shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that Interpublic Group of Companies Inc. paid investors a total of $5.63/share in dividends over the 5 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 1.32/share, we calculate that IPG has a current yield of approximately 4.26%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 1.32 against the original $21.77/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 19.57%.

Another great investment quote to think about:
“Every once in a while, the market does something so stupid it takes your breath away.” — Jim Cramer