“Someone’s sitting in the shade today because someone planted a tree a long time ago.”
— Warren Buffett
Investors can learn a lot from Warren Buffett, whose above quote teaches the importance of thinking about investment time horizon, and asking ourselves before buying any given stock: can we envision holding onto it for years — even a two-decade holding period possibly?
Suppose a “buy-and-hold” investor was considering an investment into Autodesk Inc (NASD: ADSK) back in 2004: back then, such an investor may have been pondering this very same question. Had they answered “yes” to a full two-decade investment time horizon and then actually held for these past 20 years, here’s how that investment would have turned out.
| Start date: | 07/12/2004 |
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| End date: | 07/10/2024 | ||||
| Start price/share: | $19.77 | ||||
| End price/share: | $247.05 | ||||
| Starting shares: | 505.82 | ||||
| Ending shares: | 506.60 | ||||
| Dividends reinvested/share: | $0.04 | ||||
| Total return: | 1,151.55% | ||||
| Average annual return: | 13.46% | ||||
| Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
| Ending investment: | $125,114.13 | ||||
As shown above, the two-decade investment result worked out quite well, with an annualized rate of return of 13.46%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 20 years ago into $125,114.13 today (as of 07/10/2024). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 1,151.55% (something to think about: how might ADSK shares perform over the next 20 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that Autodesk Inc paid investors a total of $0.04/share in dividends over the 20 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of .015/share, we calculate that ADSK has a current yield of approximately 0.00%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of .015 against the original $19.77/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 0.00%.
More investment wisdom to ponder:
“History provides a crucial insight regarding market crises: they are inevitable, painful and ultimately surmountable.” — Shelby Davis
