“When we own portions of outstanding businesses with outstanding managements, our favorite holding period is forever.”
— Warren Buffett
The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a two-decade holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Southwest Airlines Co (NYSE: LUV)? Today, we examine the outcome of a two-decade investment into the stock back in 2004.
| Start date: | 06/10/2004 |
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| End date: | 06/07/2024 | ||||
| Start price/share: | $15.31 | ||||
| End price/share: | $27.75 | ||||
| Starting shares: | 653.17 | ||||
| Ending shares: | 734.97 | ||||
| Dividends reinvested/share: | $4.24 | ||||
| Total return: | 103.95% | ||||
| Average annual return: | 3.63% | ||||
| Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
| Ending investment: | $20,407.74 | ||||
As shown above, the two-decade investment result worked out as follows, with an annualized rate of return of 3.63%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 20 years ago into $20,407.74 today (as of 06/07/2024). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 103.95% (something to think about: how might LUV shares perform over the next 20 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that Southwest Airlines Co paid investors a total of $4.24/share in dividends over the 20 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of .72/share, we calculate that LUV has a current yield of approximately 2.59%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of .72 against the original $15.31/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 16.92%.
Another great investment quote to think about:
“While it might seem that anyone can be a value investor, the essential characteristics of this type of investor-patience, discipline, and risk aversion-may well be genetically determined.” — Seth Klarman
