“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”
— Warren Buffett
The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a five year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Align Technology Inc (NASD: ALGN)? Today, we examine the outcome of a five year investment into the stock back in 2019.
Start date: | 06/17/2019 |
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End date: | 06/14/2024 | ||||
Start price/share: | $288.68 | ||||
End price/share: | $256.01 | ||||
Starting shares: | 34.64 | ||||
Ending shares: | 34.64 | ||||
Dividends reinvested/share: | $0.00 | ||||
Total return: | -11.32% | ||||
Average annual return: | -2.37% | ||||
Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
Ending investment: | $8,870.44 |
As we can see, the five year investment result worked out poorly, with an annualized rate of return of -2.37%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $8,870.44 today (as of 06/14/2024). On a total return basis, that’s a result of -11.32% (something to think about: how might ALGN shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
One more piece of investment wisdom to leave you with:
“The function of economic forecasting is to make astrology look respectable.” — John Galbraith