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“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”

— Warren Buffett

The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a ten year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into CSX Corp (NASD: CSX)? Today, we examine the outcome of a ten year investment into the stock back in 2014.

Start date: 05/09/2014
$10,000

05/09/2014
  $41,990

05/08/2024
End date: 05/08/2024
Start price/share: $9.56
End price/share: $34.22
Starting shares: 1,046.03
Ending shares: 1,226.67
Dividends reinvested/share: $3.19
Total return: 319.77%
Average annual return: 15.42%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $41,990.59

The above analysis shows the ten year investment result worked out exceptionally well, with an annualized rate of return of 15.42%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 10 years ago into $41,990.59 today (as of 05/08/2024). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 319.77% (something to think about: how might CSX shares perform over the next 10 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that CSX Corp paid investors a total of $3.19/share in dividends over the 10 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of .48/share, we calculate that CSX has a current yield of approximately 1.40%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of .48 against the original $9.56/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 14.64%.

One more piece of investment wisdom to leave you with:
“He who earns and does not invest will have to work for the rest of his life.” — Debasish Mridha