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“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”

— Warren Buffett

The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a decade-long holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Franklin Resources Inc (NYSE: BEN)? Today, we examine the outcome of a decade-long investment into the stock back in 2014.

Start date: 04/29/2014
$10,000

04/29/2014
  $7,306

04/26/2024
End date: 04/26/2024
Start price/share: $51.57
End price/share: $24.99
Starting shares: 193.91
Ending shares: 292.33
Dividends reinvested/share: $13.00
Total return: -26.95%
Average annual return: -3.09%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $7,306.11

As shown above, the decade-long investment result worked out poorly, with an annualized rate of return of -3.09%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 10 years ago into $7,306.11 today (as of 04/26/2024). On a total return basis, that’s a result of -26.95% (something to think about: how might BEN shares perform over the next 10 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that Franklin Resources Inc paid investors a total of $13.00/share in dividends over the 10 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 1.24/share, we calculate that BEN has a current yield of approximately 4.96%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 1.24 against the original $51.57/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 9.62%.

Here’s one more great investment quote before you go:
“The whole secret to winning big in the stock market is not to be right all the time, but to lose the least amount possible when you’re wrong.” — William O’Neil