“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”
— Warren Buffett
Investors can learn a lot from Warren Buffett, whose above quote teaches the importance of thinking about investment time horizon, and asking ourselves before buying any given stock: can we envision holding onto it for years — even a ten year holding period possibly?
Suppose a “buy-and-hold” investor was considering an investment into Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (NYSE: CMG) back in 2014: back then, such an investor may have been pondering this very same question. Had they answered “yes” to a full ten year investment time horizon and then actually held for these past 10 years, here’s how that investment would have turned out.
| Start date: | 04/04/2014 |
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| End date: | 04/03/2024 | ||||
| Start price/share: | $555.16 | ||||
| End price/share: | $2,895.58 | ||||
| Starting shares: | 18.01 | ||||
| Ending shares: | 18.01 | ||||
| Dividends reinvested/share: | $0.00 | ||||
| Total return: | 421.58% | ||||
| Average annual return: | 17.95% | ||||
| Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
| Ending investment: | $52,164.17 | ||||
As we can see, the ten year investment result worked out exceptionally well, with an annualized rate of return of 17.95%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 10 years ago into $52,164.17 today (as of 04/03/2024). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 421.58% (something to think about: how might CMG shares perform over the next 10 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
One more investment quote to leave you with:
“We ignore outlooks and forecasts… we’re lousy at it and we admit it … everyone else is lousy too, but most people won’t admit it.” — Martin Whitman
