“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”
— Warren Buffett
Investors can learn a lot from Warren Buffett, whose above quote teaches the importance of thinking about investment time horizon, and asking ourselves before buying any given stock: can we envision holding onto it for years — even a decade-long holding period possibly?
Suppose a “buy-and-hold” investor was considering an investment into Autodesk Inc (NASD: ADSK) back in 2014: back then, such an investor may have been pondering this very same question. Had they answered “yes” to a full decade-long investment time horizon and then actually held for these past 10 years, here’s how that investment would have turned out.
Start date: | 03/11/2014 |
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End date: | 03/08/2024 | ||||
Start price/share: | $52.81 | ||||
End price/share: | $251.86 | ||||
Starting shares: | 189.36 | ||||
Ending shares: | 189.36 | ||||
Dividends reinvested/share: | $0.00 | ||||
Total return: | 376.92% | ||||
Average annual return: | 16.91% | ||||
Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
Ending investment: | $47,699.81 |
The above analysis shows the decade-long investment result worked out exceptionally well, with an annualized rate of return of 16.91%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 10 years ago into $47,699.81 today (as of 03/08/2024). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 376.92% (something to think about: how might ADSK shares perform over the next 10 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
One more investment quote to leave you with:
“I believe in the discipline of mastering the best that other people have ever figured out. I don’t believe in just sitting down and trying to dream it all up yourself. Nobody’s that smart.” — Charlie Munger