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“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”

— Warren Buffett

One of the most important things investors can learn from Warren Buffett, is about how they approach their time horizon for an investment into a stock under consideration. Because immediately after buying shares of a given stock, investors will then be able to check on the day-to-day (and even minute-by-minute) market value. Some days the stock market will be up, other days down. These daily fluctuations can often distract from the long-term view. Today, we look at the result of a ten year holding period for an investor who was considering Brown & Brown Inc (NYSE: BRO) back in 2014, bought the stock, ignored the market’s ups and downs, and simply held through to today.

Start date: 01/22/2014
$10,000

01/22/2014
  $50,697

01/19/2024
End date: 01/19/2024
Start price/share: $16.39
End price/share: $74.83
Starting shares: 610.13
Ending shares: 677.25
Dividends reinvested/share: $3.22
Total return: 406.79%
Average annual return: 17.63%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $50,697.64

As shown above, the ten year investment result worked out exceptionally well, with an annualized rate of return of 17.63%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 10 years ago into $50,697.64 today (as of 01/19/2024). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 406.79% (something to think about: how might BRO shares perform over the next 10 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that Brown & Brown Inc paid investors a total of $3.22/share in dividends over the 10 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of .52/share, we calculate that BRO has a current yield of approximately 0.69%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of .52 against the original $16.39/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 4.21%.

Here’s one more great investment quote before you go:
“Sentimentality about an investments leads to lack of discipline.” — Sam Zell