“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”
— Warren Buffett
The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a five year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Exxon Mobil Corp (NYSE: XOM)? Today, we examine the outcome of a five year investment into the stock back in 2018.
| Start date: | 10/30/2018 |
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| End date: | 10/27/2023 | ||||
| Start price/share: | $78.78 | ||||
| End price/share: | $105.55 | ||||
| Starting shares: | 126.94 | ||||
| Ending shares: | 164.18 | ||||
| Dividends reinvested/share: | $17.50 | ||||
| Total return: | 73.29% | ||||
| Average annual return: | 11.64% | ||||
| Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
| Ending investment: | $17,331.54 | ||||
As shown above, the five year investment result worked out quite well, with an annualized rate of return of 11.64%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $17,331.54 today (as of 10/27/2023). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 73.29% (something to think about: how might XOM shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that Exxon Mobil Corp paid investors a total of $17.50/share in dividends over the 5 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 3.8/share, we calculate that XOM has a current yield of approximately 3.60%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 3.8 against the original $78.78/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 4.57%.
Here’s one more great investment quote before you go:
“If you’re prepared to invest in a company, then you ought to be able to explain why in simple language that a fifth grader could understand, and quickly enough so the fifth grader won’t get bored.” — Peter Lynch
