“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”
— Warren Buffett
The above quote from Warren Buffett is timeless, and brings into focus the choice about time horizon that any investor should think about before buying a stock they are considering. Behind every stock is an actual business; what will that business look like over a five year period?
Today, let’s look backwards in time to 2018, and take a look at what happened to investors who asked that very question about Meta Platforms Inc (NASD: META), by taking a look at the investment outcome over a five year holding period.
Start date: | 09/21/2018 |
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End date: | 09/20/2023 | ||||
Start price/share: | $162.93 | ||||
End price/share: | $299.67 | ||||
Starting shares: | 61.38 | ||||
Ending shares: | 61.38 | ||||
Dividends reinvested/share: | $0.00 | ||||
Total return: | 83.93% | ||||
Average annual return: | 12.96% | ||||
Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
Ending investment: | $18,391.77 |
The above analysis shows the five year investment result worked out quite well, with an annualized rate of return of 12.96%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $18,391.77 today (as of 09/20/2023). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 83.93% (something to think about: how might META shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
One more piece of investment wisdom to leave you with:
“While it might seem that anyone can be a value investor, the essential characteristics of this type of investor-patience, discipline, and risk aversion-may well be genetically determined.” — Seth Klarman