“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”
— Warren Buffett
The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a five year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into United Airlines Holdings Inc (NASD: UAL)? Today, we examine the outcome of a five year investment into the stock back in 2018.
Start date: | 05/03/2018 |
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End date: | 05/02/2023 | ||||
Start price/share: | $67.52 | ||||
End price/share: | $44.53 | ||||
Starting shares: | 148.10 | ||||
Ending shares: | 148.10 | ||||
Dividends reinvested/share: | $0.00 | ||||
Total return: | -34.05% | ||||
Average annual return: | -7.99% | ||||
Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
Ending investment: | $6,594.40 |
As shown above, the five year investment result worked out poorly, with an annualized rate of return of -7.99%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $6,594.40 today (as of 05/02/2023). On a total return basis, that’s a result of -34.05% (something to think about: how might UAL shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
One more piece of investment wisdom to leave you with:
“A lot of people with high IQs are terrible investors because they’ve got terrible temperaments. You need to keep raw, irrational emotion under control.” — Charlie Munger