“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”
— Warren Buffett
One of the most important things investors can learn from Warren Buffett, is about how they approach their time horizon for an investment into a stock under consideration. Because immediately after buying shares of a given stock, investors will then be able to check on the day-to-day (and even minute-by-minute) market value. Some days the stock market will be up, other days down. These daily fluctuations can often distract from the long-term view. Today, we look at the result of a five year holding period for an investor who was considering Ross Stores Inc (NASD: ROST) back in 2018, bought the stock, ignored the market’s ups and downs, and simply held through to today.
Start date: | 05/24/2018 |
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End date: | 05/23/2023 | ||||
Start price/share: | $82.96 | ||||
End price/share: | $101.88 | ||||
Starting shares: | 120.54 | ||||
Ending shares: | 126.47 | ||||
Dividends reinvested/share: | $4.69 | ||||
Total return: | 28.85% | ||||
Average annual return: | 5.20% | ||||
Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
Ending investment: | $12,884.83 |
The above analysis shows the five year investment result worked out well, with an annualized rate of return of 5.20%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $12,884.83 today (as of 05/23/2023). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 28.85% (something to think about: how might ROST shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that Ross Stores Inc paid investors a total of $4.69/share in dividends over the 5 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 1.34/share, we calculate that ROST has a current yield of approximately 1.31%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 1.34 against the original $82.96/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 1.58%.
One more piece of investment wisdom to leave you with:
“I made my money by selling too soon.” — Bernard Baruch