“When we own portions of outstanding businesses with outstanding managements, our favorite holding period is forever.”
— Warren Buffett
The wisdom of Warren Buffett reflects a value-based philosophy about investing that says investors are buying shares in a business, and encourages strategic thinking about investment time horizon. Before placing a buy order for a stock, a great question we can ask is whether we would still be comfortable making the investment if we couldn’t sell it for many years?
A “buy-and-hold” approach may call for a time horizon that spans a long period of time — maybe even lasting for a twenty year holding period. Suppose such a “buy-and-hold” investor had looked into buying shares of Dollar Tree Inc (NASD: DLTR) back in 2003. Let’s take a look at how such an investment would have worked out for that buy-and-hold investor:
Start date: | 05/19/2003 |
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End date: | 05/16/2023 | ||||
Start price/share: | $8.31 | ||||
End price/share: | $158.82 | ||||
Starting shares: | 1,203.37 | ||||
Ending shares: | 1,203.37 | ||||
Dividends reinvested/share: | $0.00 | ||||
Total return: | 1,811.19% | ||||
Average annual return: | 15.89% | ||||
Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
Ending investment: | $191,104.18 |
As shown above, the twenty year investment result worked out exceptionally well, with an annualized rate of return of 15.89%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 20 years ago into $191,104.18 today (as of 05/16/2023). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 1,811.19% (something to think about: how might DLTR shares perform over the next 20 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Another great investment quote to think about:
“Finding the best person or the best organization to invest your money is one of the most important financial decisions you’ll ever make.” — Bill Gross