“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”
— Warren Buffett
The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a ten year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into International Paper Co (NYSE: IP)? Today, we examine the outcome of a ten year investment into the stock back in 2013.
Start date: | 02/01/2013 |
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End date: | 01/31/2023 | ||||
Start price/share: | $39.55 | ||||
End price/share: | $41.82 | ||||
Starting shares: | 252.84 | ||||
Ending shares: | 370.62 | ||||
Dividends reinvested/share: | $16.98 | ||||
Total return: | 54.99% | ||||
Average annual return: | 4.48% | ||||
Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
Ending investment: | $15,501.86 |
The above analysis shows the ten year investment result worked out as follows, with an annualized rate of return of 4.48%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 10 years ago into $15,501.86 today (as of 01/31/2023). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 54.99% (something to think about: how might IP shares perform over the next 10 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that International Paper Co paid investors a total of $16.98/share in dividends over the 10 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 1.85/share, we calculate that IP has a current yield of approximately 4.42%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 1.85 against the original $39.55/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 11.18%.
One more investment quote to leave you with:
“If you have more than 120 or 130 I.Q. points, you can afford to give the rest away. You don’t need extraordinary intelligence to succeed as an investor.” — Warren Buffett