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“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”

— Warren Buffett

One of the most important things investors can learn from Warren Buffett, is about how they approach their time horizon for an investment into a stock under consideration. Because immediately after buying shares of a given stock, investors will then be able to check on the day-to-day (and even minute-by-minute) market value. Some days the stock market will be up, other days down. These daily fluctuations can often distract from the long-term view. Today, we look at the result of a ten year holding period for an investor who was considering Broadridge Financial Solutions (NYSE: BR) back in 2013, bought the stock, ignored the market’s ups and downs, and simply held through to today.

Start date: 02/01/2013
$10,000

02/01/2013
  $77,390

01/31/2023
End date: 01/31/2023
Start price/share: $23.58
End price/share: $150.36
Starting shares: 424.09
Ending shares: 514.59
Dividends reinvested/share: $16.67
Total return: 673.73%
Average annual return: 22.70%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $77,390.75

The above analysis shows the ten year investment result worked out exceptionally well, with an annualized rate of return of 22.70%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 10 years ago into $77,390.75 today (as of 01/31/2023). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 673.73% (something to think about: how might BR shares perform over the next 10 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that Broadridge Financial Solutions paid investors a total of $16.67/share in dividends over the 10 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 2.9/share, we calculate that BR has a current yield of approximately 1.93%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 2.9 against the original $23.58/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 8.18%.

Another great investment quote to think about:
“All intelligent investing is value investing: acquiring more that you are paying for. You must value the business in order to value the stock.” — Charlie Munger