“When we own portions of outstanding businesses with outstanding managements, our favorite holding period is forever.”
— Warren Buffett
Investors can learn a lot from Warren Buffett, whose above quote teaches the importance of thinking about investment time horizon, and asking ourselves before buying any given stock: can we envision holding onto it for years — even a twenty year holding period possibly?
Suppose a “buy-and-hold” investor was considering an investment into Trimble Inc (NASD: TRMB) back in 2003: back then, such an investor may have been pondering this very same question. Had they answered “yes” to a full twenty year investment time horizon and then actually held for these past 20 years, here’s how that investment would have turned out.
Start date: | 01/06/2003 |
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End date: | 01/05/2023 | ||||
Start price/share: | $2.34 | ||||
End price/share: | $50.12 | ||||
Starting shares: | 4,273.50 | ||||
Ending shares: | 4,273.50 | ||||
Dividends reinvested/share: | $0.00 | ||||
Total return: | 2,041.88% | ||||
Average annual return: | 16.55% | ||||
Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
Ending investment: | $214,276.46 |
As shown above, the twenty year investment result worked out exceptionally well, with an annualized rate of return of 16.55%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 20 years ago into $214,276.46 today (as of 01/05/2023). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 2,041.88% (something to think about: how might TRMB shares perform over the next 20 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
One more piece of investment wisdom to leave you with:
“Generally, the greater the stigma or revulsion, the better the bargain.” — Seth Klarman