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“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”

— Warren Buffett

The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a decade-long holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Wynn Resorts Ltd (NASD: WYNN)? Today, we examine the outcome of a decade-long investment into the stock back in 2012.

Start date: 11/08/2012
$10,000

11/08/2012
  $8,120

11/07/2022
End date: 11/07/2022
Start price/share: $109.25
End price/share: $72.28
Starting shares: 91.53
Ending shares: 112.32
Dividends reinvested/share: $27.75
Total return: -18.81%
Average annual return: -2.06%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $8,120.38

As we can see, the decade-long investment result worked out poorly, with an annualized rate of return of -2.06%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 10 years ago into $8,120.38 today (as of 11/07/2022). On a total return basis, that’s a result of -18.81% (something to think about: how might WYNN shares perform over the next 10 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that Wynn Resorts Ltd paid investors a total of $27.75/share in dividends over the 10 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 4/share, we calculate that WYNN has a current yield of approximately 5.53%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 4 against the original $109.25/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 5.06%.

Here’s one more great investment quote before you go:
“When everyone is going right, look left.” — Sam Zell