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“Someone’s sitting in the shade today because someone planted a tree a long time ago.”

— Warren Buffett

The investment philosophy practiced by Warren Buffett calls for investors to take a long-term horizon when making an investment, such as a twenty year holding period (or even longer), and reconsider making the investment in the first place if unable to envision holding the stock for at least five years. Today, we look at how such a long-term strategy would have done for investors in Netflix Inc (NASD: NFLX) back in 2002, holding through to today.

Start date: 10/28/2002
$10,000

10/28/2002
  $4,328,149

10/26/2022
End date: 10/26/2022
Start price/share: $0.69
End price/share: $298.62
Starting shares: 14,492.75
Ending shares: 14,492.75
Dividends reinvested/share: $0.00
Total return: 43,178.26%
Average annual return: 35.45%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $4,328,149.61

As we can see, the twenty year investment result worked out exceptionally well, with an annualized rate of return of 35.45%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 20 years ago into $4,328,149.61 today (as of 10/26/2022). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 43,178.26% (something to think about: how might NFLX shares perform over the next 20 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Another great investment quote to think about:
“Thousands of experts study overbought indicators, head-and-shoulder patterns, put-call ratios, the Fed’s policy on money supply…and they can’t predict markets with any useful consistency, any more than the gizzard squeezers could tell the Roman emperors when the Huns would attack.” — Peter Lynch