“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”
— Warren Buffett
The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a five year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Intel Corp (NASD: INTC)? Today, we examine the outcome of a five year investment into the stock back in 2017.
| Start date: | 09/08/2017 |
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| End date: | 09/07/2022 | ||||
| Start price/share: | $35.19 | ||||
| End price/share: | $30.65 | ||||
| Starting shares: | 284.17 | ||||
| Ending shares: | 323.87 | ||||
| Dividends reinvested/share: | $6.54 | ||||
| Total return: | -0.73% | ||||
| Average annual return: | -0.15% | ||||
| Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
| Ending investment: | $9,925.22 | ||||
The above analysis shows the five year investment result worked out poorly, with an annualized rate of return of -0.15%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $9,925.22 today (as of 09/07/2022). On a total return basis, that’s a result of -0.73% (something to think about: how might INTC shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that Intel Corp paid investors a total of $6.54/share in dividends over the 5 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 1.46/share, we calculate that INTC has a current yield of approximately 4.76%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 1.46 against the original $35.19/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 13.53%.
Another great investment quote to think about:
“I rarely think the market is right. I believe non-dividend stocks aren’t much more than baseball cards. They are worth what you can convince someone to pay for it.” — Mark Cuban
