“When we own portions of outstanding businesses with outstanding managements, our favorite holding period is forever.”
— Warren Buffett
One of the most important things investors can learn from Warren Buffett, is about how they approach their time horizon for an investment into a stock under consideration. Because immediately after buying shares of a given stock, investors will then be able to check on the day-to-day (and even minute-by-minute) market value. Some days the stock market will be up, other days down. These daily fluctuations can often distract from the long-term view. Today, we look at the result of a two-decade holding period for an investor who was considering Activision Blizzard, Inc. (NASD: ATVI) back in 2002, bought the stock, ignored the market’s ups and downs, and simply held through to today.
| Start date: | 04/22/2002 |
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| End date: | 04/19/2022 | ||||
| Start price/share: | $3.87 | ||||
| End price/share: | $79.03 | ||||
| Starting shares: | 2,583.98 | ||||
| Ending shares: | 2,914.21 | ||||
| Dividends reinvested/share: | $3.74 | ||||
| Total return: | 2,203.10% | ||||
| Average annual return: | 16.98% | ||||
| Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
| Ending investment: | $230,465.31 | ||||
As we can see, the two-decade investment result worked out exceptionally well, with an annualized rate of return of 16.98%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 20 years ago into $230,465.31 today (as of 04/19/2022). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 2,203.10% (something to think about: how might ATVI shares perform over the next 20 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that Activision Blizzard, Inc. paid investors a total of $3.74/share in dividends over the 20 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of .47/share, we calculate that ATVI has a current yield of approximately 0.59%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of .47 against the original $3.87/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 15.25%.
More investment wisdom to ponder:
“Far more money has been lost by investors trying to anticipate corrections, than lost in the corrections themselves.” — Peter Lynch
