“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”
— Warren Buffett
Investors can learn a lot from Warren Buffett, whose above quote teaches the importance of thinking about investment time horizon, and asking ourselves before buying any given stock: can we envision holding onto it for years — even a ten year holding period possibly?
Suppose a “buy-and-hold” investor was considering an investment into Illumina Inc (NASD: ILMN) back in 2012: back then, such an investor may have been pondering this very same question. Had they answered “yes” to a full ten year investment time horizon and then actually held for these past 10 years, here’s how that investment would have turned out.
Start date: | 01/31/2012 |
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End date: | 01/28/2022 | ||||
Start price/share: | $51.86 | ||||
End price/share: | $331.96 | ||||
Starting shares: | 192.83 | ||||
Ending shares: | 192.83 | ||||
Dividends reinvested/share: | $0.00 | ||||
Total return: | 540.11% | ||||
Average annual return: | 20.40% | ||||
Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
Ending investment: | $64,012.51 |
As shown above, the ten year investment result worked out exceptionally well, with an annualized rate of return of 20.40%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 10 years ago into $64,012.51 today (as of 01/28/2022). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 540.11% (something to think about: how might ILMN shares perform over the next 10 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Here’s one more great investment quote before you go:
“One of the funny things about the stock market is that every time one person buys, another sells, and both think they are astute.” — William Feather