“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”
— Warren Buffett
One of the most important things investors can learn from Warren Buffett, is about how they approach their time horizon for an investment into a stock under consideration. Because immediately after buying shares of a given stock, investors will then be able to check on the day-to-day (and even minute-by-minute) market value. Some days the stock market will be up, other days down. These daily fluctuations can often distract from the long-term view. Today, we look at the result of a five year holding period for an investor who was considering Analog Devices Inc (NASD: ADI) back in 2017, bought the stock, ignored the market’s ups and downs, and simply held through to today.
Start date: | 01/25/2017 |
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End date: | 01/24/2022 | ||||
Start price/share: | $74.54 | ||||
End price/share: | $161.44 | ||||
Starting shares: | 134.16 | ||||
Ending shares: | 148.20 | ||||
Dividends reinvested/share: | $11.12 | ||||
Total return: | 139.25% | ||||
Average annual return: | 19.06% | ||||
Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
Ending investment: | $23,923.76 |
As we can see, the five year investment result worked out exceptionally well, with an annualized rate of return of 19.06%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $23,923.76 today (as of 01/24/2022). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 139.25% (something to think about: how might ADI shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that Analog Devices Inc paid investors a total of $11.12/share in dividends over the 5 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 2.76/share, we calculate that ADI has a current yield of approximately 1.71%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 2.76 against the original $74.54/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 2.29%.
Another great investment quote to think about:
“An investment in knowledge pays the best interest.” — Benjamin Franklin