“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”
— Warren Buffett
Investors can learn a lot from Warren Buffett, whose above quote teaches the importance of thinking about investment time horizon, and asking ourselves before buying any given stock: can we envision holding onto it for years — even a five year holding period possibly?
Suppose a “buy-and-hold” investor was considering an investment into Ulta Beauty Inc (NASD: ULTA) back in 2016: back then, such an investor may have been pondering this very same question. Had they answered “yes” to a full five year investment time horizon and then actually held for these past 5 years, here’s how that investment would have turned out.
Start date: | 12/20/2016 |
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End date: | 12/17/2021 | ||||
Start price/share: | $260.89 | ||||
End price/share: | $380.94 | ||||
Starting shares: | 38.33 | ||||
Ending shares: | 38.33 | ||||
Dividends reinvested/share: | $0.00 | ||||
Total return: | 46.02% | ||||
Average annual return: | 7.87% | ||||
Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
Ending investment: | $14,599.00 |
As shown above, the five year investment result worked out well, with an annualized rate of return of 7.87%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $14,599.00 today (as of 12/17/2021). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 46.02% (something to think about: how might ULTA shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Another great investment quote to think about:
“You’ve got to be careful if you don’t know where you’re going, ’cause you might not get there.” — Yogi Berra