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“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”

— Warren Buffett

The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a five year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into McDonald’s Corp (NYSE: MCD)? Today, we examine the outcome of a five year investment into the stock back in 2016.

Start date: 11/09/2016
$10,000

11/09/2016
$24,914

11/08/2021
End date: 11/08/2021
Start price/share: $114.98
End price/share: $253.10
Starting shares: 86.97
Ending shares: 98.44
Dividends reinvested/share: $22.60
Total return: 149.16%
Average annual return: 20.03%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $24,914.32

As we can see, the five year investment result worked out exceptionally well, with an annualized rate of return of 20.03%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $24,914.32 today (as of 11/08/2021). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 149.16% (something to think about: how might MCD shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that McDonald’s Corp paid investors a total of $22.60/share in dividends over the 5 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 5.52/share, we calculate that MCD has a current yield of approximately 2.18%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 5.52 against the original $114.98/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 1.90%.

One more investment quote to leave you with:
“A market downturn doesn’t bother us. It is an opportunity to increase our ownership of great companies with great management at good prices.” — Warren Buffett