“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”
— Warren Buffett
The above quote from Warren Buffett is timeless, and brings into focus the choice about time horizon that any investor should think about before buying a stock they are considering. Behind every stock is an actual business; what will that business look like over a ten year period?
Today, let’s look backwards in time to 2011, and take a look at what happened to investors who asked that very question about Advanced Micro Devices Inc (NASD: AMD), by taking a look at the investment outcome over a ten year holding period.
Start date: | 10/26/2011 |
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End date: | 10/25/2021 | ||||
Start price/share: | $5.10 | ||||
End price/share: | $122.36 | ||||
Starting shares: | 1,960.78 | ||||
Ending shares: | 1,960.78 | ||||
Dividends reinvested/share: | $0.00 | ||||
Total return: | 2,299.22% | ||||
Average annual return: | 37.38% | ||||
Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
Ending investment: | $239,878.25 |
As we can see, the ten year investment result worked out exceptionally well, with an annualized rate of return of 37.38%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 10 years ago into $239,878.25 today (as of 10/25/2021). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 2,299.22% (something to think about: how might AMD shares perform over the next 10 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Here’s one more great investment quote before you go:
“The investor’s chief problem, even his worst enemy, is likely to be himself.” — Benjamin Graham