“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”
— Warren Buffett
The wisdom of Warren Buffett reflects a value-based philosophy about investing that says investors are buying shares in a business, and encourages strategic thinking about investment time horizon. Before placing a buy order for a stock, a great question we can ask is whether we would still be comfortable making the investment if we couldn’t sell it for many years?
A “buy-and-hold” approach may call for a time horizon that spans a long period of time — maybe even lasting for a five year holding period. Suppose such a “buy-and-hold” investor had looked into buying shares of DaVita Inc (NYSE: DVA) back in 2016. Let’s take a look at how such an investment would have worked out for that buy-and-hold investor:
| Start date: | 10/14/2016 |
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| End date: | 10/13/2021 | ||||
| Start price/share: | $62.85 | ||||
| End price/share: | $109.96 | ||||
| Starting shares: | 159.11 | ||||
| Ending shares: | 159.11 | ||||
| Dividends reinvested/share: | $0.00 | ||||
| Total return: | 74.96% | ||||
| Average annual return: | 11.84% | ||||
| Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
| Ending investment: | $17,497.89 | ||||
As we can see, the five year investment result worked out quite well, with an annualized rate of return of 11.84%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $17,497.89 today (as of 10/13/2021). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 74.96% (something to think about: how might DVA shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
One more piece of investment wisdom to leave you with:
“Confronted with a challenge to distill the secret of sound investment into three words, we venture the motto, Margin of Safety.” — Benjamin Graham
