“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”
— Warren Buffett
The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a decade-long holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into BorgWarner Inc (NYSE: BWA)? Today, we examine the outcome of a decade-long investment into the stock back in 2011.
| Start date: | 10/10/2011 |
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| End date: | 10/07/2021 | ||||
| Start price/share: | $34.32 | ||||
| End price/share: | $45.78 | ||||
| Starting shares: | 291.38 | ||||
| Ending shares: | 327.16 | ||||
| Dividends reinvested/share: | $4.95 | ||||
| Total return: | 49.78% | ||||
| Average annual return: | 4.12% | ||||
| Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
| Ending investment: | $14,974.13 | ||||
The above analysis shows the decade-long investment result worked out as follows, with an annualized rate of return of 4.12%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 10 years ago into $14,974.13 today (as of 10/07/2021). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 49.78% (something to think about: how might BWA shares perform over the next 10 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that BorgWarner Inc paid investors a total of $4.95/share in dividends over the 10 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of .68/share, we calculate that BWA has a current yield of approximately 1.49%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of .68 against the original $34.32/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 4.34%.
One more investment quote to leave you with:
“There’s a virtuous cycle when people have to defend challenges to their ideas. Any gaps in thinking or analysis become clear pretty quickly when smart people ask good, logical questions.” — Joel Greenblatt
