“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”
— Warren Buffett
One of the most important things investors can learn from Warren Buffett, is about how they approach their time horizon for an investment into a stock under consideration. Because immediately after buying shares of a given stock, investors will then be able to check on the day-to-day (and even minute-by-minute) market value. Some days the stock market will be up, other days down. These daily fluctuations can often distract from the long-term view. Today, we look at the result of a decade-long holding period for an investor who was considering Visa Inc (NYSE: V) back in 2011, bought the stock, ignored the market’s ups and downs, and simply held through to today.
| Start date: | 06/10/2011 |
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| End date: | 06/09/2021 | ||||
| Start price/share: | $18.67 | ||||
| End price/share: | $232.31 | ||||
| Starting shares: | 535.62 | ||||
| Ending shares: | 576.02 | ||||
| Dividends reinvested/share: | $6.77 | ||||
| Total return: | 1,238.14% | ||||
| Average annual return: | 29.60% | ||||
| Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
| Ending investment: | $133,865.00 | ||||
As shown above, the decade-long investment result worked out exceptionally well, with an annualized rate of return of 29.60%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 10 years ago into $133,865.00 today (as of 06/09/2021). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 1,238.14% (something to think about: how might V shares perform over the next 10 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that Visa Inc paid investors a total of $6.77/share in dividends over the 10 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 1.28/share, we calculate that V has a current yield of approximately 0.55%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 1.28 against the original $18.67/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 2.95%.
One more piece of investment wisdom to leave you with:
“Value investing means really asking what are the best values, and not assuming that because something looks expensive that it is, or assuming that because a stock is down in price and trades at low multiples that it is a bargain.” — Bill Miller
