“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”
— Warren Buffett
Investors can learn a lot from Warren Buffett, whose above quote teaches the importance of thinking about investment time horizon, and asking ourselves before buying any given stock: can we envision holding onto it for years — even a five year holding period possibly?
Suppose a “buy-and-hold” investor was considering an investment into Advanced Micro Devices Inc (NASD: AMD) back in 2016: back then, such an investor may have been pondering this very same question. Had they answered “yes” to a full five year investment time horizon and then actually held for these past 5 years, here’s how that investment would have turned out.
Start date: | 05/16/2016 |
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End date: | 05/13/2021 | ||||
Start price/share: | $3.79 | ||||
End price/share: | $73.09 | ||||
Starting shares: | 2,638.52 | ||||
Ending shares: | 2,638.52 | ||||
Dividends reinvested/share: | $0.00 | ||||
Total return: | 1,828.50% | ||||
Average annual return: | 80.85% | ||||
Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
Ending investment: | $192,833.55 |
The above analysis shows the five year investment result worked out exceptionally well, with an annualized rate of return of 80.85%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $192,833.55 today (as of 05/13/2021). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 1,828.50% (something to think about: how might AMD shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Here’s one more great investment quote before you go:
“Be fearful when others are greedy; be greedy when others are fearful.” — Warren Buffett