“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”
— Warren Buffett
Investors can learn a lot from Warren Buffett, whose above quote teaches the importance of thinking about investment time horizon, and asking ourselves before buying any given stock: can we envision holding onto it for years — even a ten year holding period possibly?
Suppose a “buy-and-hold” investor was considering an investment into Fiserv Inc (NASD: FISV) back in 2011: back then, such an investor may have been pondering this very same question. Had they answered “yes” to a full ten year investment time horizon and then actually held for these past 10 years, here’s how that investment would have turned out.
Start date: | 04/15/2011 |
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End date: | 04/14/2021 | ||||
Start price/share: | $15.79 | ||||
End price/share: | $123.85 | ||||
Starting shares: | 633.31 | ||||
Ending shares: | 633.31 | ||||
Dividends reinvested/share: | $0.00 | ||||
Total return: | 684.36% | ||||
Average annual return: | 22.86% | ||||
Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
Ending investment: | $78,450.38 |
As we can see, the ten year investment result worked out exceptionally well, with an annualized rate of return of 22.86%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 10 years ago into $78,450.38 today (as of 04/14/2021). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 684.36% (something to think about: how might FISV shares perform over the next 10 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
One more investment quote to leave you with:
“Confronted with a challenge to distill the secret of sound investment into three words, we venture the motto, Margin of Safety.” — Benjamin Graham