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“Someone’s sitting in the shade today because someone planted a tree a long time ago.”

— Warren Buffett

The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a two-decade holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Textron Inc (NYSE: TXT)? Today, we examine the outcome of a two-decade investment into the stock back in 2001.

Start date: 02/05/2001
$10,000

02/05/2001
$23,445

02/04/2021
End date: 02/04/2021
Start price/share: $25.32
End price/share: $47.28
Starting shares: 394.94
Ending shares: 495.51
Dividends reinvested/share: $6.82
Total return: 134.28%
Average annual return: 4.35%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $23,445.08

As shown above, the two-decade investment result worked out as follows, with an annualized rate of return of 4.35%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 20 years ago into $23,445.08 today (as of 02/04/2021). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 134.28% (something to think about: how might TXT shares perform over the next 20 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that Textron Inc paid investors a total of $6.82/share in dividends over the 20 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of .08/share, we calculate that TXT has a current yield of approximately 0.17%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of .08 against the original $25.32/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 0.67%.

One more piece of investment wisdom to leave you with:
“The emotional burden of trading is substantial; on any given day, I could lose millions of dollars. If you personalize these losses, you can’t trade.” — Bruce Kovner