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“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”

— Warren Buffett

The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a five year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Juniper Networks Inc (NYSE: JNPR)? Today, we examine the outcome of a five year investment into the stock back in 2016.

Start date: 02/16/2016
$10,000

02/16/2016
$12,292

02/12/2021
End date: 02/12/2021
Start price/share: $23.21
End price/share: $25.25
Starting shares: 430.85
Ending shares: 486.85
Dividends reinvested/share: $3.08
Total return: 22.93%
Average annual return: 4.22%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $12,292.97

As we can see, the five year investment result worked out as follows, with an annualized rate of return of 4.22%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $12,292.97 today (as of 02/12/2021). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 22.93% (something to think about: how might JNPR shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that Juniper Networks Inc paid investors a total of $3.08/share in dividends over the 5 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of .8/share, we calculate that JNPR has a current yield of approximately 3.17%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of .8 against the original $23.21/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 13.66%.

Another great investment quote to think about:
“Behind every stock is a company. Find out what it’s doing.” — Peter Lynch