“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”
— Warren Buffett
One of the most important things investors can learn from Warren Buffett, is about how they approach their time horizon for an investment into a stock under consideration. Because immediately after buying shares of a given stock, investors will then be able to check on the day-to-day (and even minute-by-minute) market value. Some days the stock market will be up, other days down. These daily fluctuations can often distract from the long-term view. Today, we look at the result of a five year holding period for an investor who was considering Celanese Corp (NYSE: CE) back in 2015, bought the stock, ignored the market’s ups and downs, and simply held through to today.
| Start date: | 11/18/2015 |
|
|||
| End date: | 11/17/2020 | ||||
| Start price/share: | $72.09 | ||||
| End price/share: | $132.41 | ||||
| Starting shares: | 138.72 | ||||
| Ending shares: | 154.24 | ||||
| Dividends reinvested/share: | $10.08 | ||||
| Total return: | 104.23% | ||||
| Average annual return: | 15.34% | ||||
| Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
| Ending investment: | $20,420.65 | ||||
As shown above, the five year investment result worked out exceptionally well, with an annualized rate of return of 15.34%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $20,420.65 today (as of 11/17/2020). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 104.23% (something to think about: how might CE shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that Celanese Corp paid investors a total of $10.08/share in dividends over the 5 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 2.48/share, we calculate that CE has a current yield of approximately 1.87%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 2.48 against the original $72.09/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 2.59%.
Here’s one more great investment quote before you go:
“We don’t have to be smarter than the rest. We have to be more disciplined than the rest.” — Warren Buffett
