“Someone’s sitting in the shade today because someone planted a tree a long time ago.”
— Warren Buffett
The wisdom of Warren Buffett reflects a value-based philosophy about investing that says investors are buying shares in a business, and encourages strategic thinking about investment time horizon. Before placing a buy order for a stock, a great question we can ask is whether we would still be comfortable making the investment if we couldn’t sell it for many years?
A “buy-and-hold” approach may call for a time horizon that spans a long period of time — maybe even lasting for a two-decade holding period. Suppose such a “buy-and-hold” investor had looked into buying shares of T Rowe Price Group Inc. (NASD: TROW) back in 2000. Let’s take a look at how such an investment would have worked out for that buy-and-hold investor:
Start date: | 08/21/2000 |
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End date: | 08/19/2020 | ||||
Start price/share: | $21.38 | ||||
End price/share: | $137.14 | ||||
Starting shares: | 467.73 | ||||
Ending shares: | 745.72 | ||||
Dividends reinvested/share: | $29.35 | ||||
Total return: | 922.68% | ||||
Average annual return: | 12.32% | ||||
Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
Ending investment: | $102,224.88 |
As we can see, the two-decade investment result worked out quite well, with an annualized rate of return of 12.32%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 20 years ago into $102,224.88 today (as of 08/19/2020). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 922.68% (something to think about: how might TROW shares perform over the next 20 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that T Rowe Price Group Inc. paid investors a total of $29.35/share in dividends over the 20 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 3.6/share, we calculate that TROW has a current yield of approximately 2.63%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 3.6 against the original $21.38/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 12.30%.
More investment wisdom to ponder:
“It’s not how much money you make, but how much money you keep.” — Robert Kiyosaki