“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”
— Warren Buffett
The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a five year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into AT&T Inc (NYSE: T)? Today, we examine the outcome of a five year investment into the stock back in 2015.
Start date: | 08/18/2015 |
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End date: | 08/17/2020 | ||||
Start price/share: | $34.35 | ||||
End price/share: | $29.85 | ||||
Starting shares: | 291.12 | ||||
Ending shares: | 385.31 | ||||
Dividends reinvested/share: | $9.95 | ||||
Total return: | 15.01% | ||||
Average annual return: | 2.84% | ||||
Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
Ending investment: | $11,503.86 |
The above analysis shows the five year investment result worked out as follows, with an annualized rate of return of 2.84%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $11,503.86 today (as of 08/17/2020). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 15.01% (something to think about: how might T shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that AT&T Inc paid investors a total of $9.95/share in dividends over the 5 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 2.08/share, we calculate that T has a current yield of approximately 6.97%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 2.08 against the original $34.35/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 20.29%.
One more investment quote to leave you with:
“Know what you own and why you own it.” — Peter Lynch