“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”
— Warren Buffett
The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a five year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Bank of New York Mellon Corp (NYSE: BK)? Today, we examine the outcome of a five year investment into the stock back in 2015.
Start date: | 07/09/2015 |
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End date: | 07/08/2020 | ||||
Start price/share: | $40.99 | ||||
End price/share: | $38.82 | ||||
Starting shares: | 243.96 | ||||
Ending shares: | 270.29 | ||||
Dividends reinvested/share: | $4.76 | ||||
Total return: | 4.93% | ||||
Average annual return: | 0.97% | ||||
Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
Ending investment: | $10,494.78 |
As we can see, the five year investment result worked out as follows, with an annualized rate of return of 0.97%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $10,494.78 today (as of 07/08/2020). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 4.93% (something to think about: how might BK shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that Bank of New York Mellon Corp paid investors a total of $4.76/share in dividends over the 5 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 1.24/share, we calculate that BK has a current yield of approximately 3.19%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 1.24 against the original $40.99/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 7.78%.
One more piece of investment wisdom to leave you with:
“If you have more than 120 or 130 I.Q. points, you can afford to give the rest away. You don’t need extraordinary intelligence to succeed as an investor.” — Warren Buffett