“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”
— Warren Buffett
The wisdom of Warren Buffett reflects a value-based philosophy about investing that says investors are buying shares in a business, and encourages strategic thinking about investment time horizon. Before placing a buy order for a stock, a great question we can ask is whether we would still be comfortable making the investment if we couldn’t sell it for many years?
A “buy-and-hold” approach may call for a time horizon that spans a long period of time — maybe even lasting for a five year holding period. Suppose such a “buy-and-hold” investor had looked into buying shares of Hologic Inc (NASD: HOLX) back in 2015. Let’s take a look at how such an investment would have worked out for that buy-and-hold investor:
Start date: | 05/15/2015 |
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End date: | 05/14/2020 | ||||
Start price/share: | $34.45 | ||||
End price/share: | $51.41 | ||||
Starting shares: | 290.28 | ||||
Ending shares: | 290.28 | ||||
Dividends reinvested/share: | $0.00 | ||||
Total return: | 49.23% | ||||
Average annual return: | 8.33% | ||||
Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
Ending investment: | $14,922.41 |
As we can see, the five year investment result worked out well, with an annualized rate of return of 8.33%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $14,922.41 today (as of 05/14/2020). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 49.23% (something to think about: how might HOLX shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Here’s one more great investment quote before you go:
“It’s not whether you’re right or wrong that’s important, but how much money you make when you’re right and how much you lose when you’re wrong.” — George Soros