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“Someone’s sitting in the shade today because someone planted a tree a long time ago.”

— Warren Buffett

The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a two-decade holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Wells Fargo & Co (NYSE: WFC)? Today, we examine the outcome of a two-decade investment into the stock back in 2000.

Start date: 04/20/2000
$10,000

04/20/2000
$23,756

04/17/2020
End date: 04/17/2020
Start price/share: $20.91
End price/share: $28.38
Starting shares: 478.24
Ending shares: 836.70
Dividends reinvested/share: $20.78
Total return: 137.46%
Average annual return: 4.42%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $23,756.19

As we can see, the two-decade investment result worked out as follows, with an annualized rate of return of 4.42%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 20 years ago into $23,756.19 today (as of 04/17/2020). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 137.46% (something to think about: how might WFC shares perform over the next 20 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that Wells Fargo & Co paid investors a total of $20.78/share in dividends over the 20 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 2.04/share, we calculate that WFC has a current yield of approximately 7.19%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 2.04 against the original $20.91/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 34.39%.

Another great investment quote to think about:
“Smart investing doesn’t consist of buying good assets but of buying assets well. This is a very, very important distinction that very, very few people understand.” — Howard Marks